AMR Research predicts enterprise applications market will reach $78 billion by 2004
Research house also releases breakdowns in e-commerce, ERP, SCM, ERM, and other core segments AMR Research's most recent report on the enterprise applications predicts the market will reach $78 billion by 2004, with an overall compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24% over the next five years. In addition, AMR Research released predictions for all coverage areas including e-commerce, enterprise resource planning (ERP), e-business relationship management (ERM), supply chain management (SCM), retail, manufacturing, and plant and technical operations. "Companies adapting to the high velocity of e-business must incorporate the fundamentals of planning, coordination, and business intelligence. The goal of our market numbers and predictions is to identify trends that will shape the market for e-business technology and services," said John Bermudez, group vice president, Research Operations. "As traditional businesses develop and implement end-to-end strategies for transforming into e-businesses, AMR Research's staff offers insights into e-business applications and new infrastructure models." AMR Research defines the enterprise application market segments as core ERP, ERM, SCM, and e-commerce applications. The firm predicts the total revenue for this market will grow from $27 billion in 1999 to $78 billion in 2004. This growth is largely due to the strategic extension areas, including supply chain, ERM, and e-commerce applications. Revenue share in each Enterprise Application Market segment from 1999 to 2004 is as follows: e-commerce applications from 6% to 20%, ERM applications from 16% to 26%, SCM applications from 14% to 26%, and ERP applications from 64% to 28%. E-Commerce Applications The e-commerce application market remains highly fragmented and is expected to grow aggressively, reaching $16 billion in 2004 from $1.7 billion in 1999, with an expected CAGR of 56% over the next five years. The trading exchange platform segment will grow to almost 20% of the market by 2004, with many partnerships and acquisitions on the horizon. Trading exchange will also be the battleground where segment leaders from procurement, sell-side, ERP, SCM, and ERM will come into direct competition. The top five vendors in this space include BroadVision, Sterling Commerce, Vignette, Open Market, and Oracle. Enterprise Resource Planning AMR Research predicts that ERP market growth will slow, growing at only a 5% CAGR from $16.9 billion in 1999 to $21.4 billion in 2004. Leading vendors, including SAP, Oracle, PeopleSoft, JD Edwards, and GEAC SmartEnterprise Solutions, are in flux and are being challenged by new market dynamics, allowing new players to gain ground. These five market leaders account for 62% of the total market revenue, and will find new opportunities in ERM, SCM, and e-commerce markets. E-Business Relationship Management AMR Research views the ERM market being reshaped and sales environments changing as companies move to e-business and contact centers. The firm predicts that the ERM market will grow from $4.4 billion in 1999 to $20.8 billion by 2004, a 36% CAGR. Siebel Systems, Clarify/Nortel, Oracle, Aspect Communications, and Vantive/PeopleSoft round out the top five vendors in this space. Supply Chain Management The SCM market leaders include i2 Technologies, International Business Systems (IBS), SAP, Manugistics, and EXE. With an estimated CAGR of 40%, AMR Research predicts that the SCM market will climb from $3.8 billion in 1999 to $20.3 billion by 2004. Fulfillment issues are being addressed by Supply Chain Event Management (SCEM) applications providing inventory visibility into product availability and order status across a corporate supply chain. Retail Applications Personalized e-merchandising, e-commerce, and initiatives such as Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR) are reshaping the Retail Application Market. AMR Research predicts that this market will climb from $2.3 billion in 1999 to $12.7 billion by 2004, a 40% CAGR for the next five years. The top five vendors of retail software account for 26% of the total market and include SAP America, JDA Software, Oracle, IBM, and STS Systems. Plant & Technical Operations The Plant & Technical Operations Market consisting of Enterprise Asset Management (EAM), Product Lifecycle Management (PLM), and Plant Management is expected to grow from $3.8 billion in 1999 to $7.1 billion in 2004. AMR Research predicts a 13% CAGR over the next five years.
Specialized services to drive next-generation ASPs
Aberdeen report says market and functionality focus will be key to success in next phase of the ASP market development IT consulting and market strategy firm The Aberdeen Group says that one of the most significant trends in the application service provider (ASP) industry is the formation of Internet business service providers (iBSPs), which focus on specific markets and functionalities as well as services and applications. The report, entitled "The Evolution of a Revolution: The State of the ASP Industry," examines this diverse and rapidly growing industry, its offerings and suppliers, and the business contexts in which it operates. "IT users are fed up with software complexity, expensive and lengthy deployments, incremental productivity gains, and non-stop technology change," says report author Lew Hollerbach. "They are increasingly shifting away from locally hosted computing and toward a new environment in which third parties will eventually assume most, if not all, of the responsibilities for providing IT solutions." "The Evolution of a Revolution: The State of the ASP Industry" projects that iBSPs will be at the forefront of the broad ASP industry. "The iBSP is a new member of the Internet ecosystem," continues Hollerbach, "but it will become a key catalyst in the transformation of software. Software, currently a stand-alone product, will become just one of many key components in a broader service offering." For more information about "The Evolution of a Revolution: The State of the ASP Industry," visit www.aberdeen.com or call 800-577-7891 (East Coast) or 650-330-3124 (West Coast).